A Simple Strut-and-Tie Model for Prediction of Ultimate Shear Strength of RC Deep Beams 2 2 In this paper a new method based on Strut-and-Tie Model (STM) is proposed to determine the shear capacity of simply supported RC deep beams and an efficiency factor for concrete with considering the effect of web reinforcements. It is assumed that, the total carried shear force by RC deep beam provided by two independent resistance, namely diagonal concrete strut due to strut-and-tie mechanism and the equivalent resisting force resulted by web reinforcements, web reinforcing reduces the concrete compression softening effect with preventing from the diagonal cracks opening or concrete splitting. The unknown function and parameters are determined from 324 experimental results obtained by other researchers. To validate the proposed method, the obtained results are compared with some of the existing methods and codes such as ACI 318-05 and CSA. The results indicate that the proposed method is capable to predict the shear strength of variety of deep beams with acceptable accuracy. 141 153 2009/09/19 1388/6/28 2014/01/11 1392/10/21 A. Arabzadeh A. Arabzadeh arabzade.a@gmail.com A.R. Rahaie A.R. Rahaie A. Aghayari A. Aghayari Strut-and-tie, deep beams, shear strength, web reinforcement ## ##

Construction Wastes as Raw Materials for Geopolymer Binders 2 2 It has been shown that geopolymerization can transform a wide range of waste aluminosilicate materials into building materials with excellent chemical and physical properties such as fire and acid resistance. In this research work, geopolymerization of construction waste materials with different alkali-activators based on combinations of Na2SiO3 and NaOH has been investigated. A number of systems were designed and prepared with water-to-dry binder ratio, silica modulus, and sodium oxide concentration were adjusted at different levels and setting time and 28-day compressive strength were studied. The results obtained reveal that construction wastes can be activated using a proportioned mixture of Na2SiO3 and NaOH resulting in the formation of a geopolymer cement system exhibiting suitable workability and acceptable setting time and compressive strength. Laboratory techniques of Fourier Transform Infrared Spectroscopy (FTIR) and Scanning Electron Microscopy (SEM) were utilized for studying molecular and microstructure of the materials. 154 160 2009/09/192009/09/19 1388/6/28 2014/01/112014/01/11 1392/10/21 A. Allahverdi A. Allahverdi ali.allahverdi@iust.ac.ir E. Najafi Kani E. Najafi Kani Geopolymer, Construction Waste, Alkali-activator, Compressive Strength ## ##

A Comprehensive Framework for Integrated Management of Opportunities and Threats by Using Dynamic System 2 2 Risks mean cases of uncertainty of project, the impact of which is realized as a threat (negative aspect) and/or opportunity (positive aspect). The traditional viewpoint on risk is a negative viewpoint that implies damages, loss and harmful consequences. Judgments such as this on risk merely emphasize on risks management and pay less attention to opportunities management. It is clear that some uncertainties might be profitable for the project as in many cases, it could be the source of loss. In a developed attitude, focus is made on a common process that could address the integrated management of both opportunities and risks to aim at maximizing the positive effectsopportunities-, and minimizing negative effects- risks-. Therefore, existence of causal-effect relations between risks, relationship, effects of risks and opportunities on each other and variety of strategies in facing risks gives no alternative for risk management team than taking integrated management of risks and opportunities. In another word, reaction to risks, with respect to risks and/or relevant opportunities, separately, will be never effective. In this paper, for the purpose of integrated management of risks and opportunities, the stages of quality analysis and reactions to risk are combined. The method which is used for reaction towards risk is a procedure based on dynamic system. Dynamic system is highly important among uncertainties due to considering the type and intensity of effects. By using dynamic system and attention to the relationship between uncertainties (risks/ opportunities), reaction to risk and decision making on employing suitable strategies to face risks will be more precise and accurate. 161 169 2009/09/192009/09/192009/09/19 1388/6/28 2014/01/112014/01/112014/01/11 1392/10/21 M.H. Sebt M.H. Sebt sebt@aut.ac.ir A. Gerei A. Gerei H. Naghash Toosi H. Naghash Toosi Uncertainty, risk management, risk qualitative analysis, dynamic system, cause and effect relations. ## ##

Small-Scale Model Test and Three-Dimensional Analysis of Pile-Raft Foundation on Medium-Dense Sand 2 2 The pile-raft foundation is a combination of a raft foundation with piles. Pile-raft foundation has been widely designed, assuming all structure loads to be transferred to piles without considering contribution of the load taken by contact surface between raft and soil. Methods of analysis currently used in practice are based upon relatively conservative assumptions of soil behavior or on the less realistic soil-structure interaction. In this study the bearing -settlement behavior of combined pile-raft foundations on medium dense sand was investigated. 1g physical model test was performed on a circular rigid raft underpinned with four model piles. Numerical simulation was also carried out on the model test, using FLAC-3D, to show compatibility of the numerical analysis with the test. The obtained results showed very good accuracy of the numerical method used in this study as long as the applied load does not exceed the working load, while the performance of numerical model was relatively good for the loads beyond working load. 170 175 2009/09/192009/09/192009/09/192009/09/19 1388/6/28 2014/01/112014/01/112014/01/112014/01/11 1392/10/21 M.H. Baziar M.H. Baziar baziar@iust.ac.ir A. Ghorbani A. Ghorbani R. Katzenbach R. Katzenbach pile-raft foundation, 1g physical model test, numerical modeling ## ##

Landslide Hazard Zonation Using Quantitative Methods in GIS 2 2 Landslides are major natural hazards which not only result in the loss of human life but also cause economic burden on the society. Therefore, it is essential to develop suitable models to evaluate the susceptibility of slope failures and their zonations. This paper scientifically assesses various methods of landslide susceptibility zonation in GIS environment. A comparative study of Weights of Evidence (WOE), Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP), Artificial Neural Network (ANN), and Generalized Linear Regression (GLR) procedures for landslide susceptibility zonation is presented. Controlling factors such as lithology, landuse, slope angle, slope aspect, curvature, distance to fault, and distance to drainage were considered as explanatory variables. Data of 151 sample points of observed landslides in Mazandaran Province, Iran, were used to train and test the approaches. Small scale maps (1:1,000,000) were used in this study. The estimated accuracy ranges from 80 to 88 percent. It is then inferred that the application of WOE in rating maps’ categories and ANN to weight effective factors result in the maximum accuracy. 176 189 2009/09/192009/09/192009/09/192009/09/192009/09/19 1388/6/28 2014/01/112014/01/112014/01/112014/01/112014/01/11 1392/10/21 M.H. Vahidnia M.H. Vahidnia A.A. Alesheikh A.A. Alesheikh alesheikh@kntu.ac.ir A. Alimohammadi A. Alimohammadi F. Hosseinali F. Hosseinali Landslide Susceptibility Map, Artificial Neural Network, Weight-of-Evidence, Analytical Hierarchy Process, General Linear Regression ## ##

Numerical Investigation on Accuracy of Mass Spring Models for Cylindrical Tanks under Seismic Excitation 2 2 The main objective of this article is evaluation of the simplified models which have been developed for analysis and design of liquid storage tanks. The empirical formulas of these models for predicting Maximum Sloshing Wave Height (MSWH) are obtained from Mass Spring Models (MSM). A Finite Element Modeling (FEM) tool is used for investigating the behavior the some selected liquid storage tanks under available earthquake excitations. First, the results of FEM tool are verified by analyzing a liquid storage tank for which theoretical solution and experimental measurements are readily available. Then, numerical investigations are performed on three vertical, cylindrical tanks with different ratios of Height to Radius (H/R=2.6, 1.0 and 0.3). The behaviors of the tanks are initially evaluated using modal under some available earthquake excitations with various vibration frequency characteristics. The FEM results of modal analysis, in terms of natural periods of sloshing and impulsive modes period, are compared with those obtained from the simplified MSM formulas. Using the time history of utilized earthquake excitations, the results of response-history FEM analysis (including base shear force, global overturning moment and maximum wave height) are compared with those calculated using simplified MSM formulations. For most of the cases, the MSWH results computed from the time history FEM analysis demonstrate good agreements with the simplified MSM. However, the simplified MSM doesn’t always provide accurate results for conventionally constructed tanks. In some cases, up to 30%, 35% and 70% average differences between the results of FEM and corresponding MSM are calculated for the base shear force, overturning moment and MSWH, respectively. 190 202 2009/09/192009/09/192009/09/192009/09/192009/09/192009/09/19 1388/6/28 2014/01/112014/01/112014/01/112014/01/112014/01/112014/01/11 1392/10/21 M.A. Goudarzi M.A. Goudarzi S.R. Sabbagh-Yazdi S.R. Sabbagh-Yazdi syazdi@kntu.ac.ir Liquid Storage Tank, Seismic Analysis, Finite Element Modeling, Mass Spring Model, Impulsive Mode, Convective Mode, Sloshing Wave hieght. ## ##

Development of Bayesian Inference to Predict household Trip Production (Case Study of Isfahan City) 2 2 Household trip production is not a constant parameter and vary based on socio-economic characteristics. Even households in each category (households with constant socio-economic characteristics) produce several numbers of trips. Purpose of present study is to model the variation of household trip production rate in urban societies. In order to do this, concept of the Bayesian Inference has been used. The city of Isfahan was selected as case study. First, likelihood distribution function was determined for number of household trips, separating odd and even trips. In order to increase precision of the function, the composed likelihood distribution function was utilized. To insert households’ socio-economic variables in the process, disaggregate 2 calibrated model were used at the likelihood distribution function. Statistical indices and 2 test show that likelihood distribution function of numbers of household trip production follows the Poisson distribution. The final composed likelihood distribution was determined based on Bayesian inference. Related function was created with compilation of mean parameter distribution function (Gamma distribution) and numbers of household trip production (Poisson distribution). Finally, disaggregate model was put at final composed probability function instead of mean parameter. Results show that with Bayesian inference method, it would be possible to model the variation of household trip production rate in urban societies. Also it would be possible to put socio-economic characteristics in the model to predict likelihood of real produced trips (not average produced trips) for each household's category. 203 209 2009/09/192009/09/192009/09/192009/09/192009/09/192009/09/192009/09/19 1388/6/28 2014/01/112014/01/112014/01/112014/01/112014/01/112014/01/112014/01/11 1392/10/21 A. Mansour Khaki A. Mansour Khaki mkhaki@iust.ac.ir Sh. Afandizadeh Sh. Afandizadeh R. Moayedfar R. Moayedfar test, composed likelihood distribution function, even trips, odd trips, Poisson discrete distribution function. ## ##